南海研究论坛

 找回密码
 立即注册

QQ登录

只需一步,快速开始

查看: 1480|回复: 6

[USA] Is Scarborough Shoal worth a war?

[复制链接]
发表于 2016-5-26 08:26 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
http://triblive.com/opinion/feat ... a-scarborough-shoal; y! g4 f. r5 N! \

* h' w# O1 Z% Z' N% {5 \8 a8 PBY PAT BUCHANAN | Tuesday, May 24, 2016, 9:00 p.m.
0 U  p1 F* W( c% f& ^% U& h; j) e$ I0 j8 J& h# L' z5 D
Updated 23 hours ago
8 g! I% l2 ^$ c' S3 _, T
, A) D. \9 O- m, DIf China begins to reclaim and militarize Scarborough Shoal, says Philippines President Benigno S. Aquino III, America must fight. Should we back down, the U.S. will lose “its moral ascendancy and also the confidence of one of its allies,”says Aquino.
* ^6 }" c. h! X) o" @6 t# M- f3 \, S: }$ F' a  h/ k
And what is Scarborough Shoal? A cluster of rocks and reefs, 123 miles west of Subic Bay, that sits astride the passageway out of the South China Sea into the Pacific and is well within Manila's 200-mile exclusive economic zone.) h0 U2 e6 Y! ~8 i# A: Z

$ `2 |5 |1 K* s5 ]! ~1 Z4 aBeijing and Manila both claim Scarborough Shoal. But in June 2013, Chinese ships swarmed and chased off a fleet of Filipino fishing boats and naval vessels. The Filipinos never came back.9 C% c/ ?7 X5 i! ~9 s- v/ G
. i! s& `! }/ L: c+ m
And now that China has converted Fiery Cross Reef and Mischief Reef into artificial islands with docks and air bases, Beijing seems about to do the same with Scarborough Shoal.- l2 T, p5 n, q

) X' T5 @2 p3 W. ~7 J9 a- f9 p“Scarborough is a red line,” says Gregory Poling of the Center for Strategic and International studies. To allow China to occupy and militarize the reef “would clearly change the balance of power.”
5 h: W9 N2 J" c. P) i1 e. n2 w9 H9 e  L. [) D
Really? But before concluding that we must fight to keep China from turning Scarborough Shoal into an island base, there are other considerations. High among them is that the incoming president of the Philippines is Rodrigo Duterte — no admirer of America and a populist authoritarian thug who, as mayor of Davao, presided over the extrajudicial killing of some 1,000 criminals during the 1990s.
% S0 V& g% x+ n" B5 p  S8 [9 |& L. l& E" J
Duterte once offered to set aside his country's claim in exchange for a Chinese-built railroad, then said he might take a jet ski to the reef to assert Manila's rights, plant a flag and let himself be executed to become a national hero.6 m: z6 q! B. b: T2 B$ C
* O5 l. q" {+ Y
The rise of Duterte is yet another argument that when Manila booted us out of Subic Bay at the Cold War's end, we should have dissolved our mutual security pact." P; n- O6 R+ q7 R, z9 X" r
# S, G! T# ~1 H/ E0 s
This June, an international arbitration tribunal in The Hague will rule on Manila's claims and China's transgressions on reefs that may not belong to her. Beijing has indicated she will not accept any such decision.
7 r% l+ _- Y% v" I
/ |5 E; Y) w/ I% i, Y" @So, the fat is in the fire. U.S. warships and reconnaissance planes passing near these islets have been repeatedly harassed by Chinese warplanes. Vietnam, too, has a quarrel with China.3 X8 O- b1 c4 b7 l6 T: f, Y) x
! Q2 D1 m8 I9 U8 ]% g8 |
But before we agree to support the claims of Manila and Hanoi against China's claims, and agree to use U.S. air and naval power if needed, we need to ask some hard questions.
% L: t. q) ^5 O
8 w" y5 _& V2 ~What vital interest of ours is imperiled by who owns, or occupies, or militarizes Scarborough Shoal? If U.S. rights of passage in the South China Sea are not impeded by the Chinese, why make Hanoi's and Manila's quarrels with China our quarrels?' p* r( E1 P+ v8 r: M% w6 n
# T( {7 C/ N# h0 ]
Better that we impose a 10 percent tariff on Chinese-made goods and threaten an embargo of all Chinese goods if they do not stand down. And call on our “allies” to join us in sanctions against China rather than sit and hold our coat while we fight their wars.' C# m4 B! d! c/ e$ v
4 _6 Y' \1 F" N! ?& s7 e
This economic action would send China's economy into a tailspin, and the cost to Americans would not be reckoned in the lives of our best and bravest.
+ ]- B. c$ a# I( D2 @2 q( y6 y* V$ T7 F- Q
Pat Buchanan is the author of “The Greatest Comeback: How Richard Nixon Rose From Defeat to Create the New Majority.”
回复

使用道具 举报

发表于 2016-5-26 08:29 | 显示全部楼层
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽
回复 支持 反对

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2016-5-26 08:31 | 显示全部楼层
作者认为美国没必要因南海岛礁而为越菲去打流血战争,但主张实施经济制裁让中国经济崩溃。
回复 支持 反对

使用道具 举报

发表于 2016-5-26 08:48 | 显示全部楼层
che 发表于 2016-5-26 08:31) U  `+ g) Y: b- p6 r
作者认为美国没必要因南海岛礁而为越菲去打流血战争,但主张实施经济制裁让中国经济崩溃。 ...

* k: M* ~( U# T狒狒的智商=零
回复 支持 反对

使用道具 举报

 楼主| 发表于 2016-5-26 09:01 | 显示全部楼层
习以为常2019 发表于 2016-5-26 08:48: E2 _% f$ b9 a/ p
狒狒的智商=零
) k- z" P8 k5 Y$ m( P9 `, q
美国智库砖家的文章
回复 支持 反对

使用道具 举报

发表于 2016-5-26 09:36 | 显示全部楼层
脑筋都出毛病了?
回复 支持 反对

使用道具 举报

发表于 2016-5-26 09:49 | 显示全部楼层
经济制裁中国?
9 g! k/ i. s4 i  g中国肯定同样反制,中国损失会比美国大,抛售美国国债也是一个选项,波音、苹果、华尔街的那些财团同意吗?欧洲、日本会在方面跟美国走吗?
回复 支持 反对

使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 立即注册

本版积分规则



小黑屋|手机版|南海研究论坛 ( 辽ICP备12011429号|辽公安备21091102000117 )

GMT+8, 2019-7-24 11:11 , Processed in 0.152874 second(s), 19 queries , Gzip On.

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

© 2001-2017 Comsenz Inc.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表